Tuesday, May 12, 2009

Spring Fish Wrap - SMU Edition


Welcome to another fish wrap, from a WSU Football Blog point of view. Last week we hit the first two teams of '09 on the WSU schedule - Stanford and Hawai'i - and now we move on. Today it's opponent number three in the cross-hairs, as the SMU Ponies roll into Martin Stadium for an early season showdown of ESPN "Bottom Ten" occupants for most of the 2008 season (psst - check team number two on the list to finish up 2008):


We call SMU the Ponies for a couple of reasons. First, of course, the old "Pony Express" backfield of Eric Dickerson and Craig James of the early 80's. Big-time players who put SMU on the map, pre-major probation era.

For those that don't quite remember, Dickerson and James ran wild for SMU, as they built up a powerhouse in the old SWC. And in the very early 80's, SMU was a pretty big deal. So big in that they won at least some share of a national title in both 1981 AND 1982. However, SMU fans just couldn't help themselves, and things spiraled out of control so badly that they actually killed the program, death penalty style! Per the SMU Mustangs Wiki entry:

1987, SMU became the first and, currently, only school to have its football program given the the NCAA's "death penalty". The program was terminated for the 1987 season because the university was allegedly making approximately $61,000 in booster payments from 1985 to 1986. It later emerged that a "slush fund" had been used to pay players as early as the mid-1970s, and athletic officials had known about it as early as 1981.

The death penalty, while harsh, also worked. SMU hasn't been to a bowl game since 1984, and have had just one winning season since the penalty crippled the program. But while the old gray mare ain't what she used to be, there is some strong history at SMU. Don Meredith, Doak Walker, Craig James, Eric Dickerson, etc. Big names, sure. Just that whole cheating thing more or less sunk the ship.

Anyway, not to belittle the upcoming opponent, but, when looking at 2008, "ponies" seems appropriate. In June Jones' first year at the helm after getting off the Hawai'ian islands, his SMU Mustangs took a 1-11, zero-conference-win BATH in C-USA. We thought WSU '08 was bad? One look at what SMU went through and you see it was just as bad....if not worse.

But hang on. Yes, the calendar has flipped, and it's a whole new season of hope. What do the Mustangs look like, post-spring ball? Well, let's see...



LAST YEAR: 1-11, 0-8 in-conference. Sounds a little familiar? They did beat Texas State in a 47-36 shootout, but otherwise they goose-egged it for '08.

Now let's get real here. SMU pretty much stunk in '08, rolling out a brutal season in their first year under Jones. But there might be at least some promise in that 1-11 mark. They did hang in there against bowl teams like Houston (44-38), Memphis (31-26) and Tulsa (37-31). But hey, 1-11 is 1-11. Not quite as bad as 0-12, but, uh, still awfully bumpy. The bad news is that 1-11 was all too familiar to the SMU faithful. Why? Because they went 1-11, including 0-8 in conference, in 2007! A lone win over North Texas saved them from a defeated '07. It's been some tough times down SMU's way the last couple of years.

FANS ARE: Wondering exactly what the fuss was over June Jones? THIS is the guy who led Hawai'i to all those wins and bowl games? This is the guy they paid $10 million for, over the next five years, to get things moving?

But really, it's not THAT bad. It appears many SMU faithful understood Jones was stepping into a very difficult situation. After all, he was essentially starting over with a very young squad in '08. Very much a "flip that program" deal that WSU fans are all too familiar with, year one was a major overhaul in several different areas for SMU. Jones and company were simply trying to implement their entire system, on and off the field. And besides, SMU was only returning 10 starters last year - five on offense, five on defense - so over half the team on both sides of the ball had new faces to break in. When you have an offense that is a radical switch to the run-and-shoot, it's not exactly the simplest of systems for pretty much everyone on offense. Major speed bumps in year one were expected, and that's exactly what they got.

OFFENSIVE SYSTEM: Run-n-shoot, big-time. And definitely more shoot than run? Jones brought the system with him to Dallas last year, and it showed in their stats, where they attempted 476 passes vs. only 217 rushing attempts.

OFFENSIVE RATINGS: 98th in total offense, averaging 314.3 yards per game. The passing game was alright, averaging 272.9 yards per game. But the running game? Ouch. Not only did they only attempt 217 runs on the year, but they only averaged 41.4 yards per game, on just 2.3 yards per carry. June Jones has never been a big run guy in the run-n-shoot, but wow, just 41 yards per game is just about as tough as it gets.

RETURNING OFFENSIVE STARTERS: 8

TOP OFFENSIVE PLAYER: QB Bo Levi Mitchell.


The true frosh started from day one of the '08 season, and didn't disappoint. Even though the overall record wasn't there, the upside is apparent. Mitchell racked up 2865 yards passing, with 24 TD passes to boot, good for third-most in single season history at SMU. He had five games of at least three TD passes, and four games in which he threw for at least 300 yards, which is 2nd all-time in SMU history for 300+ yard games in a season. But he certainly wasn't perfect. He did make an awful lot of rookie mistakes, including 23 INT's and a completion percentage of 57.6 percent.

A big key is going to be Mitchell's health. Mitchell is strong, but isn't the biggest QB in the world, listed at 6-1, 201. He injured his shoulder late in the season vs. Memphis, and after the injury, would throw four int's with one TD pass in his last two games. But the potential is there in a system that appears to fit him well. He's also regarded as a real student of the game, watching countless hours of tape on Colt Brennan, looking for ways to get better and master a tough to "pick up and play" offense.

DEFENSIVE SCHEME: While listed as "multiple", they were mainly a 4-3 defense. But now they are purely a 3-4 scheme, based on their latest spring practice session and depth chart.

DEFENSIVE RATINGS: Pretty much a nightmare last year. SMU was 119th in the country in total defense, giving up 479.5 yards per game. That number was slightly better than what happened in '07, where they gave up 498.7 yards per game. Still, it was pretty much the bottom of the barrel in defensive ratings for SMU. Teams averaged almost five yards per carry (4.9) against the defense.

RETURNING DEFENSIVE STARTERS: 8

TOP DEFENSIVE PLAYER: LB Youri Yenga.


While fellow linebacker Pete Fleps had more total tackles last year (106), I will go with Yenga as the best defensive player on SMU's roster. Yenga had a breakout '08 campaign, when he had 73 tackles, as well as leading the team in tackles for loss (10.5) and sacks (6.5). This year he will be a weakside linebacker in the 3-4 after playing some defensive end last year, and he should be able to attack the line of scrimmage as an outside rusher. Undersized as a defensive end but just right as a weakside 'backer at 6-1, 223, he could be a perfect fit in their linebacker corps.

And on a defense that recorded just 18 sacks for the entire '08 season, Yenga was roughly better than 1/3rd of the entire team sack totals. Yenga also led the team in QB hurries (4), plus a team-high in forced fumbles (3). He even blocked a couple of kicks. Simply put, Yenga is the top player on the defense and must be accounted for on every snap for next season.


TOP THREE POST-SPRING QUESTIONS:

1) How does the O-line look? Can they protect Mitchell and keep him healthy? With eight starters back on offense, you would think things will be fine. But the SMU offensive line is awfully young. Four of the five projected starters for next year are sophomores. However three of them got some significant game experience last season, so it might not be as bad as it sounds. Still, that's a lot of youth up front, and there could still be some significant growing pains ahead.

2) Sure, Mitchell had a big '08 season. But will he suffer from the dreaded Sophomore Slump? It doesn't really look like it. As stated above, yes, the line is young, but they do have some game experience under their belts. But the best thing for Mitchell is that his top two WR's are coming back for '09. Aldrick Robinson is a big-play guy at WR, with a team leading 1,047 yards receiving and 11 TD catches, all as a sophomore last year. But he's not alone. Emmanuel Sanders is back as well, and all he did was reel in another 958 yards receiving of his own, with nine TD catches. Add Robinson and Sanders together, and you are talking about 2000+ yards and 20 TD catches between them. When a QB has experienced weapons like that coming back, he should be just fine in '09.

3) But will the defense stop anybody? ANYONE? Not an easy question to answer. Eight starters are back, and as they always say, experience is the best teacher. There are some good individuals coming back, with Yenga and Fleps at linebacker. And they are making a permanent switch to the 3-4 defense next season, so it might be a better fit given their relative strength at linebacker. But of those eight starters, only three are seniors. So they will still be somewhat young. And you are also talking about a unit that was pushed around for most of the last two seasons. This is one of the worst overall defenses in the country over their last 24 games, coaching changes be damned. To suddenly turn it all around might be far-fetched, but with some major lessons learned by some key individuals last year, 2009 could see some solid steps forward.

WSU FOOTBALL BLOG SEZ: SMU is going to be an interesting challenge. A lot of experience back, and they will be eager to taste some success after such a miserable last couple of seasons. The offense should be pretty familiar to WSU, after seeing Hawai'i's version of the run-n-shoot the prior week. SMU opens with winnable games vs. Stephen F Austin at home, and then at UAB on 9/12 before making the trip north to Pullman.

This is a game between two programs that have clearly seen better days. And, quite frankly, both teams are probably looking at the schedule right now and thinking "that's one we can get." Even though coaches NEVER look ahead, right?? But it's also fair to say that, looking at the schedules ahead for both teams? They sure better get this one. Not to get all gloomy, but, whoever loses here may not have many wins left in their respective schedules.

That's it for SMU on a Tuesday. Enjoy your day, and GO COUGS!

22 comments:

Selahcoug said...

This is definitely the best chance for a win on the schedule. A loss here would put the Cougs in Husky territory. I think Stanford is a tall order, but the back to backs against Hawai'i and SMU is likely the high point of the season so it would be nice to have a winning record for a little while, at least until the destruction that will happen on Sept. 26th in LA.

Anonymous said...

A very good writeup on my "Ponies"

Anonymous said...

Seems like if we run the ball and keep their QB off the field then we stand a good chance to win this game. If our O-line can impose their will on the 3-4 then we should be able to get this game, especially since it's at home.

Nuss said...

Man, if we can somehow sneak out a win against Stanford, we really could be looking at a 3-0 start. I really like our chances in this one -- running the ball is going to have to be our offensive staple, and it seems as though that's where SMU is weakest.

Of course, that's assuming we can make it out of August without 32 players sidelined with injuries.

Anonymous said...

SM(PEE)U will be better than you guys next year. By a lot. Book it. Ponies 35, Couglets 20.

Nuss said...

"SM(PEE)U will be better than you guys next year. By a lot. Book it. Ponies 35, Couglets 20."

Uh-huh ... that's the kind of analysis one comes to expect from "Anonymous" commenter. Hard-core stuff!

Sedihawk said...

The "pee" was kind of funny though, I will give the muscle-bound anonymous that....the Couglets remark screams fan of a certain 0-12 in-state "powerhouse"?

I don't know what to make of SMU. A rough go of it the last couple of years, but a lot of starters are back on both sides of the ball. Top QB plus playmaking WR's in a pass-happy system sure makes me worry. I think it is interesting that we face Hawai'i the week before, and we are fresh off seeing Hawai'i in late November last year. That's three run-n-shoot attacks over our last four games. Familiarity can breed confidence, so maybe they'll figure something out by the time they see SMU?

I do think Jones is going to turn that thing around, and they will take a step forward this year. If he could do it at Hawai'i, he sure as hell can do it at SMU. And you better BELIEVE they have this one circled as a win they have to get!

Anonymous said...

Vince links to this in his blog today but this is a hell of write up on the Cougs AND wsufootballblog gets a shout out at the end. I agree with everything this guy wrote (except for his definition of a WSU Dream Season)

http://thequad.blogs.nytimes.com/2009/05/10/the-quad-countdown-no-114-washington-state/

'03CouveCoug said...

How about a nice, big round of applause for Eric Dickerson's Jheri Curl? That pic is priceless. Craig James has changed hardly a bit, has he? I think the only thing that’s different is that his hair is now parted ever so slightly to the right of where it is in this photo. Outstanding find!

Great analysis as usual, Sedi…lots of useful info. This is the game I think every Coug fan has been pointing to as a sure of a thing that we could possibly see this coming season. However, after reading this, I’m not so confident. Given our own defensive ineptitude, the Mustangs could present a real challenge, with their talent and experience at QB and WR. It sure is a good thing that SMU seemingly has no running game. With luck, we’ll get them in several 3rd and long situations and force a lot of mistakes that prompt punts, or better yet, turnovers!

Who knows, maybe with SMU sporting a defense that appears to be as bad as ours was last season, our offense can really get into a rhythm and put a lot of points on the board? Or, maybe as Nuss stated, run, run, run the ball, keep that Mustang offense off of the field and just get out of Martin with a W.

Hate to sound like Eeyore, but it may be the only one we get.

Sedihawk said...

Love the classic E-Dickerson. Man that guy could run. But the Pony Craig James was amazing as well. Those guys were unstoppable. Hooray athletic department slush funds! :)

In all seriousness, Nuss is right on the run, run, run idea. I can't imagine we'll do anything crazy like try and get into a shootout. And running the ball could/should be something we are pretty good at next year? But SMU's run game is pure window dressing.

And in a weird way, as bad as we were defensively last year? They did play better towards the end of the season. And, when you think about it, we're a smallish/quickish defense. We don't mind being spread out. And they held their own last year vs. Hawai'i. That was a 7-pt game in the second half, and any semblance of offense could have made that thing awfully interesting at the end. Oh well. Anyway, the Hawaii game will tell a lot about how we'll most likely fare against SMU. If the Warriors throw it like mad and we see the Cougs run off the field, we are in BIG trouble.

'03CouveCoug said...

Good point on the small and quick Coug D...their (no) Run n' Shoot plays right into our hands. At least we won't have to watch our D-line getting blown off the ball 5 yards on every play when playing UH and SMU!

Lucas said...

anybody see the article on Cougfan about the unveiling of our new uniforms in Pasco? Wow, Athletic Marketing could have done a little better than Pasco!

'03CouveCoug said...

Not everything has to be in Seattle to get exposure...

Soze said...

I've actually heard the Tri-Cities Tailgate is a huge deal to most Cougs.

Lucas said...

You obviously didn't read the article. I didn't say it had to happen in Seattle. I think most would say Pullman, Spokane, or hell even at the Dusty Grain Elevator would have been better than the worst of the Tri Cities.

'03CouveCoug said...

I did read the article...just assumed that you were implying Seattle would be a better location. My mistake, Lucas…that's what I get for assuming.

Personally, I could really care less about where the new uniforms are unveiled. Why the author felt the need to totally trash on Pasco did kind of irk me, however. There really was no need to do that. The article was written in poor taste and seemed to only serve the purpose of being inflammatory.

Chris '04 said...

I went to the Cougar Tailgate at the TRAC in Pasco in 2007, and it was a lot of fun (had my picture taken with a sauced Coach Doba). There are a TON of alum in the Tri-Cities. Say what you want about Pasco, but the rest of that area is brimming with Cougs. I'd say it rivals Spokane as far as an alumni base. He also trashed The TRAC, which is unfair, IMO. The TRAC is kinda the closest thing they have to a major convention center, and it's HUGE.

Anyways, too me it sounded like the author of that story was PMS'ing because they didn't hold the unveiling in Seattle. Cry me a freakin' river. What an ass.

Selahcoug said...

I would have to agree Couve Coug. Having the unveiling at the tailgate makes sense as it is the first large Coug gathering after the new contract takes effect. It is in one of the closest population centers to campus at an event that draws a lot of alums that are there to donate and talk with coaches. I think the Spring game would have been best, but I don't think they could do that as I have heard the new contract takes effect June 1.

Stiffmiester said...

June 12. The trac is stumbling distance from my door. I'll have to see about going and getting a good picture or two.

Stiffmiester said...

Sorry if that makes me lower than than the Dusty grain elevator but you can have Seattle and Spokane. All I know is that they dollar beer night at the single A Rockies affiliate on Thursdays behind the TRAC and that suits me just fine.
Stiffy

Longball said...

Stiffmeister is going to be our eyes and ears at the tailgate! Anyone else going?

I guess there are 400 folks at this thing (sold out) every year and the Tir Cities is what amounts to a population center in Eastern, WA so its not a terrible idea to throw that market a bone and unveil the unis in front of a large crowd of cougs that by all accounts is completely blato. While I am not usually a big supporter of the "production value" of Coug promotions I think this one sounds good to me.

Selahcoug said...

I'll be there as well, paid up today. It really is a great time, I have gone the last two years and really enjoyed it. It is a great way to hear the coaches give their talks and you can even get face time with them if you want as they mingle with the crowd. The silent and live auctions are fun, the live auction is done by an auctioneer family that does the fast speek style like a livestock auction. The field house atmosphere is fun as well. If you can make it, I would highly recommend it.