Friday, August 01, 2008

The 2K Decade - How the Pac-10 Has Fared

There were some interesting comments to come out of our own Rooster's picks from Monday. Misguided as some of them were, as the muscle-bound anonymous was out to hate on us, well, someone brought up a good point in taking a look at how the NW schools have done since Y2K. I took a look at the conference beginning with the 2000 season, and thought the numbers were not only interesting, but deserving of it's own post. So here goes:

Here's all 10 teams in the conference starting from Y2K (neutral site records includes bowl games and non-traditional home sites for either team):

1) USC: 81-21 overall - 41-8 at home, 33-11 on the road, 7-2 in neutral sites. No surprise here. An amazing string of at least 11 wins since the 2002 season, including the 2004 13-0 record. What was interesting was that they started out 5-7 and 6-6 for the first two years, yet have lost just eight games over the last six seasons. The perception has been that it's USC and then everyone else fighting for second place. Hard to argue against that in any way, shape or form when you look at the numbers!

2) Oregon: 67-32 overall - 39-12 at home, 25-16 away, 3-4 in neutral sites. A rough 2004 season where they went 5-6 is the only non-winning season in the decade. An impressive 25-8 non-conference record, and not just against Cupcake State either, as the Quack Attack hasn't shied away from scheduling an "A" game. And the Autzen Stadium home-field advantage is strong as advertised. 39-12 is nothing to sneeze at. I was impressed with their road record, and their conference record was strong at 42-24, including three seasons of 7-1 (2000, 2001 and 2005).

3) Oregon State: 63-36 overall - 38-11 at home, 20-24 on the road, 5-1 in neutral sites. The surprise obviously is how good they have been the last eight seasons. You can also see how strong the Reser Stadium advantage really is. Remember, prior to the 1999 season, Oregon State had a 28-year streak of LOSING seasons. While Dennis Erickson gets a lot of credit for turning things around, you cannot help but be impressed by the work of Mike Riley. Erickson initially won with many of the players Riley recruited, and since Riley returned in 2003, the Beavs have had just one losing season(5-6 in '05). A huge tip of the cap toward the plucky Beavs. They should be proud of the program they have become.

4) UCLA: 56-43 - 35-14 at home, 19-24 on the road, 2-5 in neutral sites. While people love to rip on the Bruins and their fall from the elite, well, it's not THAT bad. Just two losing seasons, and both were 6-7 affairs (2007 and 2003). Still, aside from their 2005 10-2 breakthrough, they've hovered just above the .500 mark. The home record is pretty impressive, and even though they've gone just 13-13 the last two seasons, they have gone 10-3 at home. Only one losing season at home, 2-4 in 2002, they've won 16 of their last 19 games in the Rose Bowl.

5) ASU: 56-43 - 37-16 at home, 17-23 on the road, 2-4 in neutral sites. I guess the big surprise to me was the road record. I knew they were good at home, and if you've been to a game in Tempe before you know that they do have a strong home-field advantage. But I didn't realize they were six games under .500 on the road the last eight seasons. Similar to UCLA, they have at least had two big breakthrough seasons, 9-3 in 2004 and 10-3 in 2007. Only two losing seasons, 5-7 in '03 and 4-7 in '01, but otherwise they've hung in at the .500 mark. Interesting flip in their conference record, where they are just 31-35, yet out of conference, 25-8.

6) WSU: 54-41 - 24-20 at home, 23-19 on the road, 7-2 in neutral sites (including 5-1 in Seattle). We know all too well the story here. An unprecedented three straight top-ten finishes in the polls from 2001 through 2003, but it's been a bowl-less drought ever since. 2006 was promising, at one point 6-3 and ranked, but the season fell apart due to injuries and finished with bitter 6-6 pill that really began the Doba Must Go talk. I thought the road record was interesting, a better mark that Oregon State, ASU, UCLA and Cal. But just 24-20 at home kind of sucks doesn't it? The trip to Pullman is a bitch, and the small stadium can be as loud as any other Pac-10 venue when it's packed due to how close the fans are to the action, but to be just 4 above .500 isn't good enough. Maybe that will change with Wulff.

7) CAL: 54-44 - 30-18 at home, 20-24 on the road, 4-2 in neutral sites. Cal has recovered nicely from a disaster to start the decade, where they went 3-8 in 2000 and a brutal 1-10 in 2001 (where have you gone, Tom Holmoe??). Last year's fade is on everyone's brain, but Cal has still won at least seven games since 2002. Interesting was their conference record, just 32-34, but an impressive 22-10 OOC.

8) UW: 44-52 - 29-22 at home, 14-27 on the road, 1-3 in neutral sites. This is where you see a big separation from the rest of the teams, with UW at 10 fewer wins than WSU and Cal. Even eight games under .500, they are still seven games over .500 at home. But the home field clearly isn't what it used to be. And the road record is rough. The thing is, UW started out hot this decade, rolling to 11-1 in 2000 and then it was 8-4 in 2001, 7-6 in 2002 and 6-6 in 2003. The bottom fell out in 2004, a 1-10 campaign considered by many the worst UW team in school history. The 2004 season was the first non-winning season in 27 years, but it's been tough to climb out of the hole, now four straight losing seasons.

9) Stanford: 34-57 - 19-29 at home, 15-27 on the road, 0-1 in neutral sites. Another big separation from the rest of the PAC, Stanford with 10 fewer wins than 8th place UW. Just one winning season, a 9-3 campaign in 2001, Ty Willie's last in Palo Alto. The worst was 2006, a 1-11 season considered not only the worst Stanford team in school history, but many rate it as one of the worst Pac-10 teams ever. And talk about no home-field advantage - they are just 3-16 in their last 19 home games. WOW that's bad.

10) Arizona: 33-59 - 20-32 at home, 13-27 on the road (no neutral site games). I was surprised they were behind Stanford, but, when you consider AZ has been bowl-less since the 1998 Holiday Bowl, well, I guess it makes sense. Included in their record is an abysmal 19-47 record against the conference (WOW), but 14-12 outside the PAC. Their worst showing was 2003, where they finished 2-10, nearly had a player revolt against John Mackovic, and were actually outgained in conference play by 144 yards per game. AZ actually went 4-2 at home last year, the first time this decade they've had a winning home slate.

So there you have it, the conference since the new millennium. While the top three should hold firm in USC, Oregon and probably Oregon State, there could be a lot of movement from the rest of the teams as we play out the decade. And aside from USC's domination in every way, shape and form, what do you think have been the biggest storylines so far? I would put Oregon State's arrival as a legit bowl team as a big story. And sorry UW fans, but your fall from grace this decade has to be acknowledged. Feel free to chime in with your thoughts.

Don't forget the Paul Wulff chat today at 11 AM.

And what do you know, today is 8/1. Are we really starting the season at the end of THIS month? Back-to-school ads already appearing in newspapers and TV? Where did the summer go??

AND AS ALWAYS, HAPPY FRIDAY TO Y'ALL, AND GO COUGS!

9 comments:

Anonymous said...

Can't hide from the numbers. The top 3 won't change either over the next two seasons. ASU nor UCLA can catch the beavers and their 7-game lead. The real question is can the beavers catch the quackers?? Doubt it but it is possible.

millcreekcoug said...

Its August 1, tickets have arrived in the mail, you can almost smell the rubber from the field turf.

As for this decade, I expected OSU to be up there but didn't realize they would be at number 3. What they have done is nothing short of impressive.

Sedihawk said...

Morning Mill Creek. Get that coffee yet? Great line on the field turf too! It's better than the old astroturf we used to have, like playing in the street it was so hard.

No doubt the Beavs have to be one of the top stories of the decade. It isn't just a 2-or-3 year fluke either, it's a legit 8 seasons. That's two full recruiting classes (except for redshirts that is) and that was one of the main reasons it's a good idea to take a look at things. I know I was one of many who thought that they would fall back down the ladder after Denny bolted, but Riley has just done a whale of a job. They are what we need to strive for, and I honestly think we are on the right track. The energy is so positive with Wulff going forward. Combine the new blood with the next round of stadium renovations, and we'll rise out of the muck!

kaddy said...

Have to get Phase III done, however. $42 million - not sure where we are at the moment...about halfway, I would guess.

Sedihawk said...

I haven't heard the exact number lately, but you are in the ballpark for sure Kaddy. I did hear a "rumor" that the next phase might have to be pushed out an extra year in order to make it happen, but, again, that's simply a rumor....then again, we've heard the rumor about a stadium naming rights deal since early June yet that hasn't come to fruition either, so, who knows!

millcreekcoug said...

Oh yeah, coffee has been consumed already.

The last article in which Cougfan mentioned phase 3, they said that they had 60 percent of whats needed in order to go ahead with financing.

I suspect there will be some schmoozing going on with the high rollers during the early part of the season.

Civil War Sports said...

"I know I was one of many who thought that they would fall back down the ladder after Denny bolted, but Riley has just done a whale of a job."

Don't forget, this is Riley's second tour and it was him that really started the winning ways for the Beavs.

:-)

Anonymous said...

"Erickson initially won with many of the players Riley recruited, and since Riley returned in 2003, the Beavs have had just one losing season(5-6 in '05). A huge tip of the cap toward the plucky Beavs. They should be proud of the program they have become."

They know.

Anonymous said...

Millcreekcoug? F that guy!