Monday, July 28, 2008

Rooster's Picks

This is a hard year to pick how the Pac-10 is going to end up. It seems like lots of big name players are coming off of injuries and you just can't tell if they can be counted on. Cal, UCLA and Oregon State are having a hard time picking their starting QB's at this time. Other than USC being a clear first place pick, the rest of the Pac-10 is going to be a battle and the outlook could totally change multiple times throughout the season with injuries to key personnel.

Anyway, as you'll see I took the time to go through every Pac-10 game and try to base my predictions on match-ups with a little consideration towards home field advantage, which part of the season the game is being played and I even hedged my bet on an injury or two.

Here they are in alphabetical order with some comments on each game:


Wins: Stanford, UCLA, UW & Wazzu

Pac-10 record: 4-5

UA vs. Stanford - Close game but UA's defense holds & Stanford's doesn't
UA vs. UCLA - UA takes advantage of UCLA's week secondary & offense
UA vs. UW - UA takes advantage of UW's week secondary - Defense bends but doesn't break against locker
UA vs. WSU - Cougs D is depleted by injuries at this point in the season - UA wins high scoring fest

Arizona State

Wins: Arizona, Stanford, UCLA, UW & Wazzu

Pac-10 record: 5-4

ASU vs. UA - ASU defense holds Wildcats potent offense well enough that they can abuse UA's D with an almost equally potent offense.
ASU vs. Stanford - This game is way to early in the season for Pritchard to be ready to take advantage of his decent receiving corp. Stanford's D is able to keep this one from being a laugher though.
ASU vs. UCLA - UCLA's inexperienced O-line gets worked. ASU too strong on both sides of the ball for UCLA. Laugher.
ASU vs. UW - One guy on UW's D-line isn't enough to keep Carpenter from abusing UW's secondary. Locker runs past ASU's LB's occasionally but, just like last year, it isn't enough. Laugher.
ASU vs. WSU - With Cougs D depleted at this point in the season and ASU's Shaun DeWitty now feeling comfortable at running back the Cougs take a beating at Sun Devil Stadium. Laugher.


Wins: Arizona, ASU, Stanford, UCLA & UW

Pac-10 record: 5-4

Cal vs. UA - Cal's strong secondary outmatches UA's offense even without pressure on Tuitama
Cal vs. ASU - Cal's linebackers and secondary handle ASU's passing attack. Without Herring, who aggravates his hip injury in the Georgia game the previous week, ASU has nothing to take advantage of Cal's week D-line. Cal upsets ASU by a field goal 3-0.
Cal vs. Stanford - If this game was at the beginning of the season I might give it to Stanford. Stanford returns a lot of guys on D but they were awful last year.
Cal vs. UCLA - Damn I don't know. UCLA's week O-line makes Cal's D-line look like hero's.
Cal vs. UW - Cal will come into this one with 6 or 7 wins on the line and playing for a bowl. Cal's O has enough to take care of UW's week D.


Wins: Arizona, ASU, Cal, Stanford, UCLA, UW & Wazzu

Pac-10 record: 7-2

Oregon vs. UA - Oregon's D shuts down UA & while their offense is good enough to beat UA by 2 touchdowns
Oregon vs. ASU - Oregon's D outmatches ASU's especially when UO's running back combo of Johnson and Blount take turns making ASU's linebackers look dumb. Oregon controls the ball and finishes up with a 10 point win.
Oregon vs. Cal - These two are actually pretty evenly matched but Cal, even though their young receivers are starting to figure things out at this point in the season, can't do enough against Oregon's D.
Oregon vs. Stanford - Stanford's D matches up pretty well against UO's O but Stanford won't be able to score on Oregon. Look for a 10 point win for Ducks.
Oregon vs. UCLA - UCLA's offensive line is going to lose a lot of games for them and this one is no exception. Laugher
Oregon vs. UW - First game of the season for both teams. Oregon's week spot is their receivers but they aren't as week as UW's secondary. UW takes a federal prison-esque type pounding in Autzen.
Oregon vs. Wazzu - Let's assume Wazzu is still healthy at this point. Wazzu's mediocre line matches up with UO's partially unproven O-line. Wazzu's secondary is a push against UO's receivers. Wazzu's O-line could potentially handle UO's D-line. With Wulf it's not a giver that Cougs will get out coached. Too bad that's just a dream but expect Wazzu to keep it close in Pullman.

Oregon State

Wins: Arizona, ASU, Cal, Oregon, Stanford & UW

Pac-10 Record: 6-3

OSU vs. UA - Fortunately for Beavs UA has no proven running backs to take advantage of OSU's week linebacking corp.
OSU vs. ASU - Beav's are week at the linebacker position but ASU's O-line is their achilles heal. Still, Riley has his offense clicking at this point in the season and OSU moves the ball with short routes and a good O-line opening up an occasional hole for whomever may be running the ball
OSU vs. Cal - Like I said before Riley's offense will be going at this point in the season. Look for the Beav's strong O-line to be the key to this win at home.
OSU vs. Oregon - Beav's win this one in the trenches with a complete O-line out battling UO's D-line that has a couple question marks.
OSU vs. Stanford - First game of the year for both teams. Look for the Beav's inexperienced running backs to get a lot of carries right off the bat with BIG help from a good offensive line. Beav's eek this one out in Palo Alto.
OSU vs. UW - Pissed off after a loss to Wazzu, this will be the first game of a strong finish to the season for the Beav's. Again the Beav's O-line takes advantage of another lackluster D-line.


Wins: Probably not

Pac-10: 0-9

Stanford isn't going to be as bad 0 wins sounds


Wins: OSU, Stanford, UW

Pac-10 record: 3-6

UCLA vs. OSU - On paper this looks as even a matchup as any game in the Pac-10 this year so I'll say UCLA wins with the home field advantage.
UCLA vs. Stanford - Thanks to Stanfords suspect D-line, UCLA's bad O-line won't be a factor and Chow's offense will be affective.
UCLA vs. UW - Other than a push at UCLA's O-line against UW's D-line, UCLA out matches UW in every category.


Wins: All

Pac-10 record: 9-0

USC vs. UA - Without a good running back and an even offensive attack the Cats don't have a chance to score enough points to make up for their D that has no bright spots. Laugher.
USC vs. ASU - With Herring still out this game, with USC's nasty secondary and linebackers and with USC's running backs against ASU's slow linebackers this one is a comfortable win for USC.
USC vs. Cal - Any signs of improvement Cal's offense has made to this point in the season don't make a difference. Cal gets overwhelmed by USC's D.
USC vs. Oregon - Oregon just doesn't have the offensive weapons to pick apart USC's D.
USC vs. OSU - by no means will OSU's offense have it's act together at the 4th game of the season to be effective against USC's D.
USC vs. Stanford - Umm… you're not gonna see what you saw last year. This will be the same type of whooping that you would see if Don Imus showed up at a Public Enemy concert.
USC vs. UCLA - The matchup in this one point to what could be the first televised NCAA football game to have an R rating for violence.
USC vs. UW - Okay this beating will be similar to the one that Neuheisel would receive if he showed up to a Tyee Club meeting. I'm talking like a take the tennis balls off the walker type pounding.
USC vs. Wazzu - USC plays Ohio State, Oregon State, Oregon and Arizona State before they play in Pullman. Their going to be tired. Wazzu will be rolling after beating UCLA and Oregon State... kidding. The only possible scenario where Wazzu wins this one is if USC decides it is worth a loss to get some rest, they forfeit the game and 35,000 fans in Martin Stadium watch Hawk and Hooty play each other on X-box on the new replay monitor.


Wins: Stanford

Pac-10 record: 1-8

UW vs. Stanford - What the heck, I'll give UW a win here. Later in the season Stanford's D might come on but not before this game.


Wins: Cal, Beavs, Stanford, UCLA & UW

Pac-10 record: 5-4

Wazzu vs. Cal - This early in the season WSU is healthy and their O-line controls Cal's young D-line and/or potential 3-4 scheme to help Rogers' effectively run the new offense.
Wazzu vs. OSU - Even though Wazzu's D-line will be severly outmatched by OSU's offensive line the Cougs offense will have a handle on the new scheme and will barely out score the Beavs in a track meet.
Wazzu vs. Stanford - Another game that Wazzu eeks out by putting a ton of points on the board.
Wazzu vs. UCLA - Cougs O-line neutralizes UCLA's strong D-line as Rogers and the new scheme take advantage of a, at this point in the season, young inexperienced secondary. Fortunately UCLA doesn't have an O-line that can over power a week Cougar D-line.
Wazzu vs. UW - I could possibly be gooching us here but I think this will be a repeat of last year's game. If you ask me sure the Cougar D-line is probably going to include some freshmen and JC guys at this point in the season but look for Ball and Sears to find a scheme to work around this fact. What should also prove helpful in regards to the Cougs D is that I have to imagine, whether told not to or he decides it on his own, Locker will not carry the ball every chance he gets. He has NO back-up and UW can't risk him getting hurt. If this is indeed the case the Cougar D can hold UW down long enough for the offense to make a mockery out of 1 defensive end, 1 linebacker and 1.5 DB's. It's Apple Cup though so expect your you know what to be puckered up right to the very end.

So doing the math here's how it looks from my analysis:

1) USC - 9-0

2) Oregon - 7-2

3) OSU - 6-3

4) Cal - 5-4

5) ASU - 5-4

6) Wazzu - 5-4

7) 'Zona - 4-5

8) UCLA - 3-6

9) UW - 1-8

10) Stanford - 0-9

Notice with the 5-4's I put Cal in 4th for their upset of ASU and Wazzu in 6th mostly because I let my bias get in the way of making a clear minded decision in a few instances.

I can't wait to read how crazy you guys think I am. I'll be reading that on Wednesday by the way because I'll be golfing all day tomorrow. But before you chime in please remember... this means nothing.


butchie said...

Rooster, won't waist my time contemplating your silly picks until you cut that hair.

222054 said...

Waist your time? Nice.

I'm pretty sure Rooster is mocking that UW loser, not posting a picture of himself.

Rooster, you call yourself a homer? I would have predicted 14-0 after we dominate UTEP in the BCS championship game. I'm so disappointed.

Anonymous said...

WSU finishing with a 5-4 pac-10 record? this must be a joke.

Anonymous said...

There isn't a chance in hell that Stanford goes 0-9 within the division.

Anonymous said...

Can I have those three minutes back I just wasted on this pile of crap?

glenallen hill hates spiders said...

"please remember... this means nothing."

thanks for telling us at the end of the story. It should have been your headline.

UWhuskytskeet said...

LMAO, what a dumb piece of shit homer. Enjoy your D-II coach with your D-III talent.

LMAO, Cougits at 5-4? BWAHHAHAHAHAHA. I love how you attempt to appear reasonable by giving the tie breaker to ASU and Cal. Don't have the balls to place them 4th? Shut this worthless site down.

Sedihawk said...

Lighten up skeet. It is one of our own's optimistic take on things, nothing more.

Rooster said...

I'm just having some fun ladies... relax. You would have been bored if I just regurgitated what everyone else has said so far and copied down the media day rankings.

Anonymous said...

This is hilarious. The cougs go 5-4 and the Huskies go 1-9? Keep drinking that Busch Light you moron.

Hooty McBoob said...

The funniest part of all of this, Rooster - is that you somehow managed to piss off a Stanford football fan. Who knew that Stanford even HAD football fans??!!

Jon Volpe Rules!

Brinkhater said...

Husky Fans: Please don't act as if a 1-8 pick is unreasonable given the fact that you have been at THE BOTTOM for a long, long time now.

BUT, its also important to note two things:

1) If the Huskies were to shock the Quack, then their entire outlook looks VERY different in a hurry (as would the Ducks')

2) If the Cougs beat the Bears, then our season looks very, very different.

All in all, we just don't know. Again, this a down, down league with a whole lot of ??? everywhere.

Anonymous said...

Huskies have been down for a long long time? I guess in todays day and age 4 seasons is a lifetime. How long were the Cougs down for prior to 2003? 20, 30 years with s couple of winning seasons here and there? I keep saying they don't teach the importance of history at WSU (Apple Cup 64 - 30 in favor of the Dawgs - won't see this series even up soon!)

Dixon in your mouth said...

First of all I am a Duck so I cannot stand either of you. But gun to my head, I would rather be a Cougar vs. Husky. At least they have fun at wazzu and are cool to hang with, wn or lose. The tone of this great blog backs that up. They are smart and cool yet know how to call it like it is. I DIGG'd this blog and will read it for what it is. UW is the worst - they think they are USC but they are really Northwestern. And as far as history goes UW fans, how about we look at things in the new millenium?
Ducks - 67-32
Cougars - 54-41
UW - 44-52

PATHETIC. UW should be ashamed for the ruin that program has become. You guys used to matter but now you won't even be 8th this season. Reality sucks don't it?

Sedihawk said...

Someone's been reading Phil Steele (dixon?). Don't forget the scrappy Beavs hanging in at an amazing 63-36 this decade. For a team that didn't have a winning season in, what, 30 years, for them to roll 63-36 is pretty amazing.

Here's all 10 teams in the conference starting from Y2K, if you are interested:

USC: 81-21
Oregon: 67-32
Oregon State: 63-36
UCLA: 56-43
ASU: 56-43
WSU: 54-41
CAL: 54-44
UW: 44-52
Stanford: 34-57
Arizona: 33-59

Anonymous said...

Thank you, pretty well thought out, won't take any pot shots.
UW may have fallen on hard times but I'll be rooting for them over Arizona. Stoops made it clear coming in to the conference that he didn't think much of the Pac 10 and I think the Pac 10 is beginning to feel the same about him. Always a fan of any Pac 10 team playing a non conference opponent, except Arizona, I'm hopeful Stoops will be gone after this season so he can go back to his beloved Big 12, and I can support UA football again!

Anonymous said...

It's a weak team not week team. It gives your post even less credence if you can't use proper grammar in it.