Wednesday, July 09, 2008

Pre-Pre-Season Prediction


Greetings Cougar Nation and Brinkhater Army!

Long time no talk.

As some of you have happily known, this blog has been without the services of Sir Alex Brinkhater for the better part of two months now. And, not surprisingly, the blog has absolutely taken off ever since.

So, me and the other Blogfathers have decided that its time for me to resume my blog routine to try to slow the traffic down a little.

Or maybe a lot.

But first, for my fan club of one (and yes, that means you, Cougar Jen), the reason for my absence...

While some of you sent some really kind e-mails wondering if I was in bad health, the truth of the matter was that I received a fairly substantial job offer for bringing Brinkhater commentary (albeit under a different auspice) to a major sports website. As a result of this offer, I had to shut down my blogging in the same way that a radio or TV personality goes off the air when they take a job offer.

In all honestly, it was a tough decision about whether or not I should switch careers. On one hand, I had put tons of work into my current job and doctoral work. On the other hand, when I look in the mirror, both my visage and midsection look increasingly like my main man, the evil Vince Grippi.

"I could be a PERFECT sports columnist," I remarked at the time.

But in the end, the slew of Brinkhater-hater comments that I've received over the past year convinced me that trying to make a career out of this stuff would result in a career that would wind up being shorter than a New York minute. So, I turned em down and now am back to continue to turn you all off from frequenting this blog.

That all said, it was hard to try to figure out what to write about given my long sabbatical. But, given Sedihawks MASTERFUL Pac-10 previews (did he kick Athlon's ass or what?), I thought I'd give you my pre-camp predictions of this team's fortunes.

And since, this pre- pre-view will be entirely devoid of any real information or fact, please join in by giving us your takes on the upcoming tilt.

For Brinkhater, there are three real keys to this upcoming season:

1) Our first three games

2) Rogers play at QB

3) The health of our Defensive Line.

Where the last point is concerned, I honestly believe that the return of Mullenix for his 8th season might have actually won us two games. Its not that M is any good, but the addition of his presence may make us JUST deep enough to be able to keep teams under 30 and in games as a result.

But the real key to the season is the play and development of Gary Rogers.

As I've told Sedihawk over and over again, there has been nearly an entire generation of Cougar football fans that have forgotten what a spread offense looks like with a strong armed quarterback.

And, when you look at the arsenal of talent we have at the skilled positions, there is a real threat for this new offense to be an absolute tour de force this year.

So, if Tardy is healthy and Ivory eligible, our backfield will be poised for at least 1,200 yards + rushing combined. With Woodard and Freikenschiltheisen at TE we will be suitable up the middle. And then you have burners Gibson, Anderson, and the snake-in-the-grass pounder Willis as wideouts for Rogers to spread the ball to. Honestly Cougar Nation, the sky is the limit for this group. This really could be one of the better offenses that we've had in a while if Rogers can execute it. And, when you factor in that every team will be seeing us for the first time this year, and you have a recipe for a team that may really get on a roll.

The key will be how quickly Rogers picks up the offense generally, and how well he does establishing the middle of the field with his passing game--which as Cougar fans know is ALWAYS the struggle with first year quarterbacks.

With that in mind, expect that most teams will try to funnel the action to the middle of the field early to try to entice Rogers to hit a number 53 or 55 straight in the numbers early and often.
However, IF Rogers can hit the short slant AND if we can establish a running game early, this offense is really, really, really going to fly. I can't wait to see what a 75 yard out and down looks like again. I really can't wait.

So, how do I see the season in total?

In a nutshell, Brinkhater forsees a surprisingly successful season that will end with us bowling.
The key "swing game" on the slate will be our tilt with the Baylor Bears. Win that game and I think we will be bowl eligible. Lose that game, and it could be a long season since I think that will put us at 0-3.

My nimble predictions:

OSU-L

CAL-L

Baylor-W

PSU-W

Ore-L

UCLA-W

OSU-W

USC-L

Stanford-W

Arizona-L

ASU-L

UW- W

Hawaii-W

That's 7-6 in Brinkhater math. Don't know about you all, but I am gearing up to really enjoy it since 2009-10 is shaping up nicely to be a really special two win campaign.
But, this is going to be a surprising year for the Cougar Nation if we can avoid the early and pre-season injury bug that plagued the Doba years.

Give us your thoughts on the upcoming season and have a great week.

21 comments:

millcreekcoug said...

I hate to say it, but I think with Slick Rick at the helm our success over UCLA is going to come to a halt.

He pretty much owns us.

Σ (FormerlyKnownAsBrinkHater) said...

Maybe in future years. But they have major woes on offense and if we click like I think we will, we'll outscore em.

Sedihawk said...

The scary deal with Neu is his instant success he has when he first shows up. He's the breath of fresh air with a guitar and sandals. But we'll see. Their QB is running 2-minute intervals on a treadmill right now, and even when healthy Olson hasn't done anything of note.


7 wins seems too high, but, it's not out of the realm of possibility either. The consensus is that outside of USC, ASU and likely Oregon, the rest of the conference is a mish-mash of teams that all have issues. Even Cal has some major uncertainty at pretty important spots right now.

Good to have you back BH.

Σ (FormerlyKnownAsBrinkHater) said...

Like me said, the Baylor game is key. Win that game and you get three non-conference wins since PSU will NEVER beat us and Hawaii is going to be relatively terrible (remember: they BARELY beat a 10th place UW last year in spite their 11-0 record).

What I am predicting is a 4-5 conference record which is NOT earth-shattering especially given that this is going to be a down year for the CRAP-10.

We're going to strike when the Iron's hot, cuz its gonna be FRIGID next season.

millcreekcoug said...

I honestly believe we will dispose of OK State.

They aren't very good, and they are opening the season on the road.

Anonymous said...

"I can't wait to see what a 75 yard out and down looks like again. I really can't wait."

Where have you ever seen that?

Sedihawk said...

Uh, "anony" is right BH. I don't think the king of kings could throw a 75-yard out! Maybe a home run ball down the sidelines that far, sure. And we know "damone" himself witnessed Drew Bledsoe throw the ball what, 90 yards in the air after practice one day? But a 75-yard down and out is pretty funny. "Ok, Jeshua, I want you to run 75 yards down the field, plant, and then head straight for the sideline....what...seriously dude, it'll be there!"

Σ (FormerlyKnownAsBrinkHater) said...

Et tu, Brute?

I was referring to a touchdown pass for 75 yards via an out and down........in my brain its probaby a 45 yard throw.

Thanks for catching the error.

Maybe I should have taken the job so I could have had an editor

Σ (FormerlyKnownAsBrinkHater) said...

Also. An out and down is where the receiver runs an out and then turns an runs down the field a la a fly pattern. in the past we've hit home runs on that pattern when the QB had enough arm to throw a deep ball cross field.

we have that guy again thank god

roseyrulz said...

bzzzzzz wrong again hater. out and UP or out and go is what you are shooting for big guy.

down-n-out = a player drives off the line of scrimmage, stops 5-15 yards down the field, cuts to the sidelines to receive the pass. if coverage is zone, receiver gets behind the corner yet in front of safety.

out-n-up = player drives off the line 5-15 yards, cuts to sidelines, then runs the deep route. the goal is for safety to bite on the out so the deep route opens up. we usually run this after the outs have succeeded and the defense cheats down or tries to jump the out altogether.

Σ (FormerlyKnownAsBrinkHater) said...

You guys are something.

I said "out and down" in spite of the apparent need to read "down and out" which is what this comments section is representing all too quickly.

Most people think of an "out pattern" as running down the field and then breaking toward the sideline. So really, a down-and-out is really redundant unless you want to consider a curl to the outside an "out." I don't.

An "out and up" or an out and down is really a matter of semantics.

In the days of the Steel curtain an out and down was synonymous with an out and up.

Cheez and Rice.

Sedihawk said...

Meeee-OW! Welcome back BH. Hey, it's the offseason. People are bored and looking for something, anything, to bitch about.

Sedihawk said...

Oh, and Mill Creek, I'm worried about OKST. Seriously talented offense, especially at QB. Good speed on offense and a monster specimen at TE. They were bad on the road last year, sure, and they have some question marks on defense, but they look like they could be a surprise team in the Big 12 to me. I sure hope we can keep up with them offensively, because they are going to move the ball and score points on us.

Hooty McBoob said...

I still love you, BH. And for the record, I witnessed Timm Rosenbach throw a bunch of 75 yard (in the air) touchdown passes. It was on Tecmo Bowl in 1990, but still...

longball said...

I believe Swogger was able to hit the cross bar in the West end zone while kneeling on the tee box of the 2nd hole on the old golf course. Or was it the from the tennis courts? Ferdinands parking lot? something like that. So he could have thrown the 75 yard out and down and up and over and slant and go all day long.

Σ (FormerlyKnownAsBrinkHater) said...

Well said, LB

Anonymous said...

Mill Creek coug,

I think that you are way off on Okl St. Why do you think that they aren't that good?

Anonymous said...

These predictions are so out of whack that i'm having a hard time believing that they are not a joke. and some of the comments... "i honestly believe we will dispose of OSU" are absolutely hilarious. Maybe you guys haven't been reading much lately, but WSU is pretty much a consensus pick to finish last in the Pac, with most likely no conference wins. you guys will probably beat baylor though, so you gut that going for you.

medinabooster said...

And that, anonymous, is why they play the games. Duh. If the predictions were all that mattered then there wouldn't be any reason to play the games. The end game to WSU this year is that, predictions aside, they are going to be extremely unpredictible. I am a Dawg fan in every way yet even a coug-hater/brink-hater-hater like me, I cannot tell how wazzu will be. you are clearly a beaver fan yourself so you should know what it is like to always be overlooked? And it makes me ill in the tummy but this brinkhater fellow is right more than he is wrong. Now about that apple cup prediction. :(

Anonymous said...

7-6 is a bit of a stretch. I'm guessing 5-8 & no bowl (again) -- so me and the bride are going to Hawaii for Thanksgiving.

Wins: Non conf: Okie State or Baylor (but not both), PSU, & Hawaii. Conf: Trees, & Dawgs.

Go Cougs!

Σ (FormerlyKnownAsBrinkHater) said...

7-6 is a stretch if the injury bug gets us and if Rogers is a bust.

But we have a TON of talent in a conference that won't be very good.

So, if things break right, then we'll be just fine.

And i think they will.

We'll see come training camp.