Friday, October 05, 2007

Football Friday WEEK 6: Doba's Last Stand

Greetings Cougah Nation. Welcome to the half-way point in what looks like a lost season.

BUT HAVE HOPE!

For one, the basketball team starts practice next week!

For two, while this represents the hugest of huge games for us, this game represents one of the biggest let down games in the history of ever for the Sun Devils. Why?

For starters, the ASU offense must be suffering from an acute case of the laugh-drools after watching film of us this week. They will be laughing because our D has made Stanford's D look like USC. And of course, they will be drooling because visions of 70 points will be alive in their heads.

On the other side of the ball, while the Devil staff is probably trying to talk us up, the bottom line is that our offense has averaged a paltry 17.5 points a game in conference play. Moreover, this same Sun Devil D dismantled us last year in Tempe..Simply put, they CAN NOT be taking us seriously. For that reason, there really should be room for hope that if we can get out of the gates quickly, we can really make this a horror show for Erickson's crew.

So, in order to win, we must score on our first drive (like we always do) and score on our second drive (which we almost do). The key, of course, is getting lucky and getting a couple stops early in the game. IF this team can jump out to a 21-7 or 14-0 lead, I think we have enough to win a shootout. BUT, if we don't get a stop early, we'll NEVER get one late. So, 1st Quarter D is going to be key for us.

Will we do it? Brinkhater thinks that it is possible.

But, what is THE MOST important aspect of this game is the development of this offense. Simply put, lose tomorrow and the pipe-dream of a 7 win season is done. That said, we can still DREAM of a 6 win campain IF the offense can start scoring some points!

Thus, a 42-38 loss tomorrow would not be the end of the world for us, because it would show that we do, in fact, have a chance at outscoring UCLA, Oregon State, Stanford, and UW as we close out the season. In Brinkhater's view, that type of a loss would take significant heat off of Bill Doba and this football team as a whole. Lose big tomorrow, with only a handful of points scored, and you'll have a boo and gloom fest not seen in a long, long time.

ASU 45 WSU 24 --Brink WILL become the all-time passing leader in this game; the table will be set for Doba to resign...

AZ 34-17: Battle of Brinkhater darkhorses. AZ may be coming out of the early season hole, Beavs seem to be just starting their digging.

USC 56 Stanford 0: Welcome to the Pac-10, nephew of Jack Thompson. This one is going to be REAL ugly.

UCLA 41 ND 10: Charlie Weiss is feeling the heat. The question is: Is he too fat to get out of the Sauna?

Enjoy the games.

7 comments:

Anonymous said...

I love all the optimism in your column and then project a blow out score! However, I am afraid you are correct on the score. Bump and run please with all out blitzes!!
Interesting read in the Lewiston Trib (I think) about Coach Burnett and his diverting blame to everyone else but himself. According to him, teams are moving to the spread and 5-7 yds passes, which make blitzing impossible. I agree if you play 15 yds off the WR and continue to use LBs to cover 3, 4 and 5th wideouts. PUll your head out Burnett!
-Ptowncoug

Brinkhater said...

I wonder if Brink thinks that Blitzing is impossible after what AZ did to us last week? Incredible take...

My optimism is tempered by the EXACT same factors that you mention + Doba's quote earlier in the week that included the bend, bend, bend that we've seen so horrifically from our defenese, but somehow alarmingly excluded the fact that we break, break, break, break, break, break..

This is the type of game where a quick and effective change-up in scheme could provide enough of an early cushion to take a flat team to the cleaners...And honestly, I think it could happen (in other words, it would not surprise me--while a win next week would give me a heart attack--albeit a blissful one!)

I really do NOT believe that ASU will take us seriously, but without a change in direction scheme wise, we won't be good enough to muster respect--so much so that a flat team will still be able to beat us (and I do think that ASU will come out flat, whether they look it or not).

Lets hope Doba gets a bit fiesty and starts fighting to win some games!! Its homecoming gosh darnit!!!

longball said...

Any chance of snow tomorrow? Sparky hates the cold.

Hooty McBoob said...

10:48PM. I am old and it's past my bedtime. Just finished off 80 bucks worth of pitchers with 3 pledge brothers (Hope you liked the drunk dial, Hawk) and I'm going to bed.

We got an e-mail this AM saying that Mini McBoob's game time has been changed from 9AM to 1PM. Great way to start off my day. I stewed on it for a while and then figured the only thing to do was to let the little man make the call.

As he got off the school bus, I let Mini know what had happened. "Oh man!" he said, not happy with the change.

"Do you want to play your game or go see the Cougs?" I asked.

Without a second of hesitation, "I want to see the Cougs!" replied my pride and joy.

We'll be on the road by 8:30. See you in P-Town, boys!

Hooty McBoob said...

10:48PM. I am old and it's past my bedtime. Just finished off 80 bucks worth of pitchers with 3 pledge brothers (Hope you liked the drunk dial, Hawk) and I'm going to bed.

We got an e-mail this AM saying that Mini McBoob's game time has been changed from 9AM to 1PM. Great way to start off my day. I stewed on it for a while and then figured the only thing to do was to let the little man make the call.

As he got off the school bus, I let Mini know what had happened. "Oh man!" he said, not happy with the change.

"Do you want to play your game or go see the Cougs?" I asked.

Without a second of hesitation, "I want to see the Cougs!" replied my pride and joy.

We'll be on the road by 8:30. See you in P-Town, boys!

Sedihawk said...

I'd love to be optimistic, but I just don't see it. ASU hasn't been north of California this year, so, this is their first true road game where they have to travel more than a couple of hours, but, I don't think it's going to matter.

The bottom line is two-fold. 1) We can't stop them. Period. Their running game with Torian, their WR's and TE's, their offensive line, Rudy, etc. They just will push us around. When you factor in that two of our better players this year in Dunn and Jackson will both be out, it's doom-n-gloom time. (And what does it say about our defense when two JC signees in April are two of our best defensive players??? UGH).

2) Brinkhater has been sledge-hammering this point home all week, and it's true - we can't score enough points to overcome the generous D. We really are more of a dink-n-dunk, ball control offense these days, with tons of underneath stuff. It's as if we have a one-back version of the west coast offense. Even though Gibson can get deep, the vertical attack just isn't what it used to be.

But the REALLY bad news? I know stats can be skewed, but have you seen the kind of defense ASU is playing this year?? It's been outstanding. #1 in the conference in scoring D and passing D, #2 in takeaways, #3 in rushing D, #2 in total D. I know, it's just stats, and, a lot of it could have a lot to do with the kind of teams they played. But they did handle Colordado, who's turned out to be a pretty good team (see the Oklahoma win last week). Think of it this way - ASU has only given up SIX TD's THIS YEAR. IN FIVE GAMES. We gave up that many to Wisconsin in week 1.

So, not only will we not stop them, we won't be able to score either. HOOORAY HOMECOMING. Sparky 49, Butch 16.

Other games:
AZ - OSU - let-down city for Stupid Stoops, or will the Beav's continue to play give-away? I love Oregon State's defense, but they just keep blowing it on offense with turnovers, a conference worst minus-10 and climbing in TO ratio. Arizona wins this one, 24-20....and gives us a nice tip of the hat to the northeast as they ride out of tow, for WSU has become their rallying point and saved their season, just like last year.

USC 60, Trees 3 - The worst thing for Stanford isn't what Captain Comeback popped off about in the offseason. The worst thing happened last week as USC played their worst game of the season, by far, losing the top spot in one poll in the process. They're officially pissed, and with Ostrander out at QB? It won't be pretty.

UCLA 33, ND 6 - It's shocking how bad Notre Dame's offense is. UCLA's D is for real, and they'll to what they want in this one. Maybe this is what happens to all teams about the 3rd season or so with a new coach, as you see the dip between the prior coach and the new coach?

SEC Shoot-out: LSU 20, Florida 12 - Big time game tonight. USC's defense is great, but I think LSU's is the best in America. If you get a chance to watch it, check out Dorsey, the D-tackle. A young Cortez Kennedy, but in better physical shape. He's a major disruptor. They'll punish Tebow tonight.

longball said...

Ok, it has got to be said - all Pac-10 replay officials should be shot. yes, SHOT. That was a touchdown and there was not even a shadow of a doubt. either they have Hellen Keller up there, or a complete moron. I am sick and tired of everytime they completely blow an indisputably clear call having to hear how hard that job is. It is the easiest job in the world. period. Complete idiots.